Ericsson sees opportunities for local mobile app developers

Angelica Greene
June 14, 2017

By that time, mobile video traffic will account for most (75%) of all mobile data traffic, according to the annual Ericsson Mobility Report.

Ericsson said that data traffic per smartphone user in India will reach 11 GB per month by 2022, up from 2 GB per month now.

The gear vendor said that the massive growth in data traffic is fueled by fast-paced smartphone adoption, coupled with disruptive pricing strategies of operators and changing user behavior.

Globally Ericsson reported that mobile subscriptions were growing at around four percent year-on-year, reaching 7.6 billion in Q1, but mobile broadband subscriptions are growing much faster, 25 percent year on year to about 4.6 billion now. The total mobile data traffic in India will grow at a CAGR of around 40%, reaching nearly 8 exabytes of data per month compared to 1 exabyte of data consumption by the end of 2016.

And if that number seems high, the Ericsson report reminds readers that in many countries the number of mobile subscriptions often exceeds a country's population thanks to factors such as inactive subscriptions, multiple subscriptions optimized for different types of calls, and citizens owning multiple devices.

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The latest collection of statistics from the report saw the highest year-on-year mobile data growth since 2013, due to the growth of mobile data use in India. In the first quarter of this year alone, 250 million new LTE subscriptions were added, said Ericsson, adding that there are now 591 commercial LTE networks deployed in 189 countries.

In fact, Ericsson notes that it has taken only five years for LTE to cover 2.5 billion people, compared to eight years for WCDMA/HSPA, or 3G, and in the first quarter of this year alone, 250 million new LTE subscriptions were added.

Global growth in demand for mobile data will also drive 5G deployment.

Globally, it said, there are 5.2 billion subscribers around the world today (out of a world population of approximately 7.5 billion), and that number is expected to reach 6.2 billion by the end of 2022 (at which point the world's population is expected to reach 7.7 billion). 5G will be the one network to support a diversity of use cases. Netflix is now available in most markets, and in some places its share of video traffic can reach 10-20% of total mobile video traffic. "According to our forecast, we anticipate that this will lead to more than half a billion 5G subscriptions and a population coverage of 15 percent by 2022".

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