Tropical Storm Bret heading towards ABC islands

Pauline Gross
June 20, 2017

The Windward Islands may begin to see gusty winds and heavy rain Monday night or early Tuesday, making outside preparations hard or risky by this time.

Rain had already started to fall along the coast, with more - possibly much more - expected over the next few days. Others take the system on a more west-northwest track toward TX. "However, as is often the case with tropical systems that enter the Gulf, they often have huge moisture fields associated with them, so we could still get some bands of heavier rain setting up across * a class="_58cn" data-ft="{"tn":"*N","type":104}" href="" wotsearchprocessed="true" *#SWFL with a system well west of us.

Both areas of disturbance have a high chance of tropical development.

Invest 93 will drift northwestward over the next 24 hours, passing over or very near to the northeastern corner of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight before entering the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow.

Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected to continue over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next day or two. It is important to note at this time that the models DO NOT have a great handle on the system yet as it does not have a well defined center of circulation.

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2017 is the first year the National Hurricane Center is issuing products for Potential Tropical Cyclones.

Satellite analysis shows strong sheer continuing over the Gulf of Mexico which would diminish the chances for a strong storm. Many areas will receive 4 to 8 inches of rain, with some places topping a foot.

The tropical storm warnings have been discontinued for Trinidad and Tobago, and Grenada. Then, after passing through the Windward Islands, the forecast calls for it to weaken into a remnant low by midweek, due to increasing southerly wind shear. It likely will become Tropical Storm Cindy or a subtropical cyclone in the next couple of days.

This system is forecast to develop into a tropical storm on Monday.

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