Donald Trump to announce broad Iran strategy later this week: White House

Pauline Gross
October 11, 2017

But despite the continued Iranian antagonism toward the Western world in general, the European Union and its member states continue to defend the deal, including JCPOA signatories Germany and France, along with the United Kingdom. He loves to be at the centre of attention.

Getting some 80% to 90% of their objectives in halting Iran's nuclear progress was critical to Israel, our Arab allies in the region, and our strategic position in a Gulf whose petroleum exports are critical to the global economy and impact on every job in America.

All the other signatories to the agreement - Britain, France, Germany, China and Russian Federation - have urged the USA to stick with the deal, saying Iran has so far stuck to its commitments to restrict its nuclear programme.

The prospect of Washington backtracking on the deal has anxious some of the U.S. allies that helped negotiate it, especially as the world grapples with another nuclear crisis in the shape of North Korea.

Facing an October 15 deadline for the recertification that Iran is complying with the deal, Mr. Trump is said to be mulling a plan to invalidate the deal.

During his speech at the UN General Assembly on September 19, the USA president described the JCPOA as "the worst and most one-sided transaction Washington has ever entered into", a characterization he often used during his presidential campaign.

The refusal to certify kicks the issue to Congress, opening a 60-day period for debate. That is because the requirement to certify Iran's compliance with the deal every 90 days is written into US law and is not part of the worldwide agreement. IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano reiterated that assessment again this week.

The list includes as examples the use of computer models that simulate a nuclear bomb, or the design of multi-point, explosive detonation systems.

But members of Mr Trump's administration are said to have suspicions about covert activity in the secretive country. Ironically, Trump playing at so-called "smart diplomacy" in the Middle East is as scary as him playing war games; he lacks the guts and cunning for the latter, and the requisite intelligence for the former. It is a compromise; it does not affect any of the non-nuclear threats from Iran, and it will need constant effort and monitoring and eventual modification.

The president's announcement will not end the deal but will pass the buck to Congress.

They also referred to a range of top United States defense officials who oppose quitting the deal now, although they would support tougher inspections of Iran's military nuclear sites and restrictions on Iran's testing of advanced uranium centrifuges.

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These are legitimate criticisms of our policy towards Iran.

Iran is implementing the Joint Comprehensive Action Plan (JCPOA), and the reluctance of President Donald Trump to realize and continue the deal with Iran is weakening the USA alliance with Europe and strengthening ties between Tehran, Moscow and Beijing. "I say this not to be provocative; I am stating a fact". They also knew there were limits to their unity and their leverage.

Iranian authorities, who have said Tehran would not be the first to violate the accord, have stepped up their rhetoric against the Trump administration over the possible terrorist designation of the Revolutionary Guards.

President Trump is expected to announce this week that he will not recertify that Iran is complying with the 2015 nuclear deal. Iran was not only enriched by the return of billions in frozen assets and the collapse of sanctions, but it has felt empowered to pursue its agenda of regional hegemony with destabilizing military adventures.

Opening up a new confrontation with Iran, opposed by both the US's enemies and allies, could be one of the nails in his coffin. The most important thing to realize about the Iran Deal is that it has found a workable solution to one of the most complex and long-lasting problems in foreign affairs in the past decade. "Iran can still continue its dealings with other countries", he said.

A commander of the IRGC responded, saying, "If the news is correct about the stupidity of the American government in considering the Revolutionary Guards a terrorist group, then the Revolutionary Guards will consider the American army to be like Islamic State all around the world".

The metaphor is a clear warning and a conditional declaration of war against the United States, similar to how Iran is in a war with Daesh. This has certainly been meant to reference ballistic missile tests that flout a United Nations Security Council resolution calling on Iran to avoid work on weapons capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.

How serious Jafari is, remains to be seen.

The US has a complicated relationship with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, which is accused of supporting groups like Hamas and Hezbollah while also helping the US fight the Islamic State in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Atlantic reports. None of which are acceptable to Iran, and would probably destroy whatever limited diplomatic and economic re-engagement has been achieved.

However, the UK's stance could leave it at odds with the United States.

Other reports by GizPress

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