The math behind Democrats' quest to win Pennsylvania special election

Pauline Gross
March 13, 2018

Trump senior adviser Kellyanne Conway campaigned for Saccone on Thursday at a Lincoln Day dinner in Allegheny County.

"Lamb is a candidate who has a background, really, out of central casting - military service, prosecutor, young, energetic", said Mike DeVanney, a GOP consultant based in Pittsburgh.

President Trump hit the campaign trail again over the weekend for a Republican candidate in a special congressional election in Pennsylvania. Bob Casey (D-PA) told TPM. "I don't know if this country's ready for it, but I think, Rick, I think it's a discussion that we have to start thinking about", Trump said.

Although Lamb has tried to localize his campaign message and set himself apart from national Democrats, there's one high-profile politician whose support he's specifically enlisted - native Pennsylvanian Joe Biden, who came to the district this week to stump for him. "The enthusiasm's certainly there for Democrats". "And, by the way, they have much less of a drug problem than we do".

Trump mentioned Saccone a half-dozen times in a speech that lasted more than an hour, and brought the candidate onstage toward the end.

Though only a single race is on the ballot, turnout could surpass totals from both of last year's elections.

But while both sides have decided that the race is worth digging deep into their pocketbooks, the fact remains that, unlike Virginia and part of Georgia where candidates also went head to head past year, this area in Pennsylvania voted solidly and overwhelmingly Republican in 2016.

Utah's 3rd district, vacated by Republican Rep. Jason Chaffetz, who now works at Fox News, was won by Republican Rep. John Curtis in November.

Saccone is competing against Democrat Conor Lamb and polls show a close race. The special election is to replace Republican Rep. Tim Murphy, who resigned past year. In contrast, Lamb raised more than $3.3 million dollars.

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Waters was in Alabama for now-Sen.

"He's OK. He's all right", Trump said of Lamb. "We need more people like that in Congress on both sides of the aisle".

"I'm focused on winning, I'm not going to talk about blame", he told reporters last week.

The White House also recognizes the threat of losing a seat Rep. Tim Murphy (R-PA) won easily for years until an embarrassing sex scandal forced him from office. But he also opposes sweeping gun restrictions, endorses Trump's new steel tariffs, and avoids attacking the president.

During his address, he also discussed nuclear arms negotiations with North Korea.

"John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump all won Pennsylvania's 18th district by at least 15 points, so the fact that this race is neck-and-neck clarifies that this tax scam is a political liability". Bob Casey, as a politician who actually would fight his own party. Their investment comes despite the fact that the district as now drawn will cease to exist by this November because of a gerrymandering case that requires the state's districts be redrawn.

"It's just wonderful that both people are running for a [district] that's going to last for a few months and then they've got to run again and not even against each other", Rep.

Not all Republicans are anxious that Trump may eclipse other GOP candidates.

"These are campaign rally issues", Mnuchin said.

Other reports by GizPress

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